Paul Brown Stadium Cincinnati, Ohio-
New York Jets (4-3) at Cincinnati Bengals (5-2), Sunday 4:05 PM CBS
The Series History: Jets lead 17-7 counting, the two playoffs games. Jets Head Coach is 3-0 against the Bengals. The Bengals have not won a game against the Jets since 2007.
October 21, 2007 Bengals Running Back Kenny Watson had a 130 yard day. The Bengals 38 Jets 31 and the two quarterbacks were Bengals Carson Palmer and Jets Chad Pennington.
Jets Out- WR Santonio Holmes, hamstring/did not practice (OUT)
Questionble- C Nick Mangold, ribs/limited
WR Greg Salas, knee/limited
Bengals Out CB Cornerback Leon Hall Out put on the IR. DT Devon Still, elbow
Questionable-RB Rex Burkhead, calf/limited
Bengals Kicker Mike Nugent, in 2005 Nugent was drafted by the Jets in the second round and played four seasons with the team. Bengals may be a perfect fit because he’s from Centerville, Ohio.
The Bengals have a couple of good returners to help their own field position. Brandon Tate and Adam Jones can take a return to the house at any time.
This offense is sensational and can give the secondary match-up problems. They ranked No. 12 overall, No.18 running the ball, and No. 9 passing. They added some good draft pick and both making a consistent impact. RB Giovani Bernard and TE Tyler Eifert are factors in the passing game.
QB Andy Dalton has a big arm and can make all the throws. Dalton also has a big-play wide receiver to throw as well. WR A.J. Green is the best receiver in the AFC and causes problems to cornerbacks every game.
The weapons don’t stop at Green, as they go two-tight ends and mix running backs and wide receivers. WR Marvin Jones, Jermaine Gresham, Benjarvus Green Ellis, Giovani Bernard, and Tyler Eifert can all be dangerous.
The two tight ends are ranked No. 5 and No. 6 in passing .This will be an advantage for them against the Jets. New York has struggled against one tight end, and now they will face two.
Giovani Bernard is another match-up problem. The linebackers will struggle covering Bernard. He has rushed for 264 yards, while Benjarvus Green Ellis has rushed for 319 yards himself.
The components on this offense can be analyzed as the best offense in the NFL. Two solid running backs, two top-ten tight ends, and the best wide receiver in the AFC. I think the jury is still out on QB Andy Dalton and he has no excuses to deliver with his weapons.
The extraordinary defense is becoming one the NFL’s best. The strength of the Jets team is this side of the ball, ranked No. 4 overall, No. 2 against the run and No. 10 against the pass.
Last week they caused problems against QB Tom Brady in the third quarter. The pass rush has the power to take over a game. The Bengals QB Andy Dalton will be the pass rush’s next target. A tremendous pass rush will shut down the Bengals weapons by rattling Dalton.
The pass rush is responsible for 24 sacks and climbing. The Jets front-seven have not allowed a 100 yard rusher all season. RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis will likely be shut down. This game will be won or lost by the Bengals offense line. They will have to protect Dalton and work the Jets secondary.
Key Match up:
Jets CB Antonio Cromartie vs Bengals WR A.J. Green
Green is the Bengals feature big play weapon that Cromartie will have to shut down. Green is not overrated; he is a stud. Great hands and the speed to run by just about anyone on the field are his two main strengths.
Cromartie’s size is his strength against Green. He could match up well against the 6’4″ receiver. A key factor is Cromartie’s hip and hamstring injury. If Cromartie is feeling better this will be a great match- up to watch. If Cromartie is not because of his injuries, he needs to not get fooled at line of scrimmage. Green has the speed to blow by him and it might be wise to play back a little to keep up with Green. Giving Cromartie safety help may be tough due to the Bengals’ other weapons.
The Bengals tight ends are problems, although Antonio Allen did a good job on Patriots Rob Gronkowski last week. Eifert is a strong tight end and Allen may have to cover him. Eifert is catching a lot of contested passes. Gresham is more athletic and may have a favorable matchup. The Jets will be smashing these tight end on the line of scrimmage and knocking off their timing.
Allen needs to match last week’s successful performance. If he can handle a tight end one-on-one, that will help. He was not afraid of getting physical with Gronkowski, who is roughly 70 pounds heavier than Allen, attacking him at the line of scrimmage.
The last matchup, Bernard against the linebackers, is going to be tough.
The Jets pass rush will have to be all over Dalton and shut down his view of the field and get some strip-sacks. This defensive turnovers are coming and I expect Jets Quinton Coples to play efficiently. Coples is due for a break-out game and this week is just as good as any.
The Jets will need an all-hands-on-deck performance to get the win.
Prediction: Jets 30 Bengals 23