The most important part of the Fantasy year is upon us and drafting season is in full force with the 2016 season just a little over a week away. Before you draft, though, here are some players to avoid and players to target in your drafts that could make or break your season.
Players to Target:
In 2013, Josh Gordon averaged over 115 YPG, had 9 receiving touchdowns and in seven out of the 14 games he played he had over 100 receiving yards. That is what you look for in a WR1, and although he is suspended for the first four weeks of the season, he is ranked in the 90s. As a guy who will be drafted around your WR3 and has the potential to put up top 10 WR numbers, it’s very tough to pass up on that in my mind.
At first glance you are probably questioning the words in front of you. The non-goal line back in the Cincinnati backfield. Why would you take that? But Giovani Bernard is a PPR monster who gets more than enough touches in order to be relevant in standard leagues as well — he got over 200 touches and 1,000 total yards in each of his first three seasons in the NFL. Look for him to continue that trend in his 4th season — just hope that he can reward you with some touchdowns on top of the yardage.
Now although Aaron may have a significantly earlier ADP than anybody else in this article, Rodgers is my QB1 this year. After all of the injuries and an out-of-shape Eddie Lacy slowed down the packers offense last season, Aaron Rodgers managed to finish as the number seven quarterback. Given a healthy Jordy Nelson, Randall Cobb, and Eddie Lacy in the best shape of his career, Rodgers has his old crew back together, and I expect him to return to form. With all these options I think he overtakes Cam and becomes not only the top quarterback, but a top-five fantasy player.
Players to Avoid
As a Dolphins fan, this section hurts me to write. I have been on the Devante Parker bandwagon since watching some of his game film after Miami drafted him last year and had him in every single one of my leagues for last season. As everyone has him as a sleeper this year, the Dolphins draft and preseason is not a good sign for the way this season will go for Parker. With the Dolphins drafting both an explosive receiver from Texas Tech, Jakeem Grant, as well as the sure-handed receiver from Rutgers, Leontee Carroo, there are going to be a lot of mouths to feed, and the reports of Kenny Stills passing Parker on the depth chart are not good signs for Parker owners. If you can get him in the later rounds as a WR4 or WR5 take that chance — Yahoo has him as a top 75 player and NFL.com has him around 126 ADP, but as around the 40th WR off the board which is perfect for him.
Demarco Murray is a top 50 ranked player on the Yahoo rankings and he also has an ADP of around 70 on NFL.com rankings. I have never been a Demarco Murray fan, and this year is no different. Players with fumble problems are always a concern in my eyes, and although he only fumbled twice last season on over 200 touches, his five fumbles the year before are alarming. He hasn’t had any really good season besides the two in Dallas, which was running behind one of the best offensive lines I have ever seen. There is also a very real chance that Murray loses red-zone carries to rookie Derrick Henry, which could really hurt his value as a runner.
Frank had a pretty solid season last year — almost 1000 rushing yards seven total touchdowns. But to counter that, he had four fumbles, three of them which were lost. Those numbers were fine, but that was in a season in which he received almost 300 touches due to a very unlucky season — health-wise — for the Colts. Now, bring back a healthy Andrew Luck and the Colts should be able to attack through the air without giving the 33 year old as many touches. He will definitely fall off after last season, which was nothing worth writing home about in the first place.